Rex’s SAG Award Predictions

LemonWade’s awards predictor, Rex Okpodu, has looked into his crystal ball with regard to tomorrow’s Screen Actors Guild awards. Here is what he thinks:

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
George Clooney, ‘Michael Clayton’
Daniel Day-Lewis, ‘There Will Be Blood’
Ryan Gosling, ‘Lars and the Real Girl’
Emile Hirsch, ‘Into the Wild’
Viggo Mortensen, ‘Eastern Promises’


I think Day-Lewis (pictured) will take this one. But I refuse to call the Oscar for him yet: I fear a backlash about the fact that both he and Julie Christie, in the Best Actress category, are non-Americans and that fact might work against them — also the fact of their ages and that they each already have an Oscar.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett, ‘Elizabeth: The Golden Age’
Julie Christie, ‘Away From Her’
Marion Cotillard, ‘La Vie en Rose’
Angelina Jolie, ‘A Mighty Heart’
Ellen Page, ‘Juno’

At least one leading awards blog says Cotillard has been successfully working the Oscar circuit and might have displaced Christie as the frontrunner. I think Cotillard might take the SAG and then Christie the Oscar. But Page might sneak in if the heat remains with “Juno” and if it wins Best Picture over “No Country” and “There Will Be Blood.”

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Casey Affleck, ‘The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford’
Javier Bardem, ‘No Country for Old Men’
Hal Holbrook, ‘Into the Wild’
Tommy Lee Jones, ‘No Country For Old Men’
Tom Wilkinson, ‘Michael Clayton’

I am feeling pretty sure about Bardem, but Holbrook might take the SAG since the actors who have ordained “Into the Wild” might feel pissed that its success with the SAGs was not repeated in the Oscar noms. In other words, Holbrook winning the SAG would be a consolation prize for the movie not having done better for the Academy Awards.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Cate Blanchett, ‘I’m Not There’
Ruby Dee, ‘American Gangster’
Catherine Keener, ‘Into the Wild’
Amy Ryan, ‘Gone Baby Gone’
Tilda Swinton, ‘Michael Clayton’

I am predicting Ryan for the SAG. Blanchett has already won a SAG, for “The Aviator” in 2004. Also: having just seen “I’m Not There” myself, I have to say that it takes a long time for Blanchett to come into the film and most people might not wait that long when watching the DVD. Like Holbrook, Ruby Dee could make a surprise showing as a veteran.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
‘3:10 to Yuma’
‘American Gangster’
‘Into the Wild’
‘No Country for Old Men’

To match up with the Oscar momentum, SAG would have to go with “No Country.” But I bet they go for “Into the Wild.”

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