Oscar 2009 Predictions: Round One

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LemonWade’s Academy Awards prognosticator, Rex Okpodu, is back again this year. Here is his first list of likely finalists for the ceremony’s major categories; the show will take place in Los Angeles on February 22. Rex has chosen ten per category, which will be whittled down to five by nomination day.

Best Picture
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>> (1) The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount)
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>> (2) Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight)
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>> (3) Australia (Fox)
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>> (4) Frost/Nixon (Universal)
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>> (5) Revolutionary Road (Paramount Vantage)
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>> (6) The Dark Knight (Warner Brothers)
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>> (7) Milk (Focus Features)
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>> (8) Doubt (Miramax)
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>> (9) The Reader (The Weinstein Company)
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>> (10) Defiance (Paramount Vantage)
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>> Best Director
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>> (1) David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
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>> (2) Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
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>> (3) Baz Luhrmann (Australia)
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>> (4) Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon)
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>> (5) Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight)
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>> (6) Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)
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>> (7) Gus Van Sant (Milk)
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>> (8) John Patrick Shanley (Doubt)
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>> (9) Stephen Daldry (The Reader)
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>> (10) Darren Aranofsky (The Wrestler)
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>> Best Actor
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>> (1) Sean Penn (Milk)
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>> (2) Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
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>> (3) Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
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>> (4) Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road)
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>> (5) Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)
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>> (6) Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)
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>> (7) Will Smith (Seven Pounds)
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>> (8) Benicio Del Toro (Che)
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>> (9) Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)
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>> (10) Tom Cruise (Valkyrie)
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>> Best Actress
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>> (1) Meryl Streep (Doubt)
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>> (2) Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road)
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>> (3) Nicole Kidman (Australia)
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>> (4) Cate Blanchett (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
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>> (5) Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)
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>> (6) Sally Hawkins (Happy-Go-Lucky)
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>> (7) Kristin Scott Thomas (I’ve Loved You So Long)
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>> (8) Angelina Jolie (Changeling)
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>> (9) Kate Beckinsale (Nothing But the Truth)
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>> (10) Melissa Leo (Frozen River)
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>> Best Supporting Actor
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>> (1) Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
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>> (2) Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
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>> (3) Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)
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>> (4) Ralph Fiennes (The Reader)
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>> (5) Alan Alda (Nothing But the Truth)
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>> (6) Dev Patel (Slumdog Millionaire)
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>> (7) James Franco (Milk)
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>> (8) Liev Schreiber (Defiance)
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>> (9) Josh Brolin (Milk)
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>> (10) Emile Hirsch (Milk)
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>> Best Supporting Actress
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>> (1) Kate Winslet (The Reader)
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>> (2) Taraji P. Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
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>> (3) Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
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>> (4) Kathy Bates (Revolutionary Road)
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>> (5) Viola Davis (Doubt)
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>> (6) Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
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>> (7) Rosemarie DeWitt (Rachel Getting Married)
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>> (8) Queen Latifah (The Secret Life of Bees)
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>> (9) Debra Winger (Rachel Getting Married)
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>> (10) Elsa Zylberstein (I’ve Loved You So Long)
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>>
>> Best Adapted Screenplay
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>> (1) Eric Roth (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
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>> (2) Simon Beaufoy (Slumdog Millionaire)
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>> (3) Peter Morgan (Frost/Nixon)
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>> (4) Justin Haythe (Revolutionary Road)
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>> (5) Christopher Nolan, Jonathan Nolan (The Dark Knight)
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>> (6) John Patrick Shanley (Doubt)
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>> (7) David Hare (The Reader)
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>> (8) Clayton Frohman, Edward Zwick (Defiance)
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>> (9) Gina Prince-Bythewood (The Secret Life of Bees)
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>> Best Original Screenplay
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>> (1) Baz Luhrmann, Stuart Beattie (Australia)
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>> (2) Andrew Stanton (WALL-E)
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>> (3) Nick Schenk (Gran Torino)
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>> (4) Dustin Lance Black (Milk)
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>> (5) Jenny Lumet (Rachel Getting Married)
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>> (6) Woody Allen (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
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>> (7) Robert D. Siegel (The Wrestler)
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>> (8) Grant Nieporte (Seven Pounds)
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>> (9) Mike Leigh (Happy-Go-Lucky)
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>> (10) Philippe Claudel (I’ve Loved You So Long)
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>> (11) Rod Lurie (Nothing But the Truth)
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>> (12) Charlie Kaufman (Synechdoche, New York)
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>> Best Animated Feature
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>> Note that only three nominees will be chosen in this category:

>> “Bolt”
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>> “Delgo”
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>> “Dr. Seuss’ Horton Hears a Who!”
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>> “Dragon Hunters”
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>> “Fly Me to the Moon”
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>> “Igor”
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>> “Kung Fu Panda”
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>> “Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa”
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>> “$9.99”
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>> “The Sky Crawlers”
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>> “Sword of the Stranger”
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>> “The Tale of Despereaux”
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>> “WALL-E”
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>> “Waltz with Bashir”

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