Oscars 2018: Rex’s First List

To take us into the new year, LemonWade’s Academy Awards expert, Rex Okpodu, offers his long lists of who and what he thinks will be nominated come Oscar time. To make room for the Winter Olympics, the awards are late this year: March 4th.

Best Picture Contenders

Dunkirk – Last summer’s hit and still frontrunner for the big 2 categories and a host of tech nominations

Darkest Hour – Telluride’s offering whose star is the current frontrunner for best actor.

The Shape of Water – Venice winner

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Over the past 12 years, every TIFF Audience winner has gone on to be a contender for best picture. Might catch the year’s Zeitgeist topic.

Call Me by Your Name – This year’s LGBTQ contender

Ladybird – Critical hit plus film from which a strong contender for best actress will come

The Florida Project – A worthy contender whose supporting actor contender will almost certainly win

The Post – The kind of traditionally well made AMPAS kind of best picture contender

Get Out – Last summer’s crowd-pleaser on a topical subject presented as a genre horror flick

The Big Sick – might benefit for major push and could make the list as a contender for best picture.

Best Director Contenders

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Stephen Spielberg, The Post

Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name

Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

Joe Wright, Darkest Hour

Jonathan Peele, Get Out

Martin Mcdonaugh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Actor Contenders

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour – Playing the respected Churchill has propelled Oldman to the top of the list for the win

Timothy Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name – If someone can topple Oldman, it might be Chalamet.

James Franco, The Disaster Artist

Daniel Kaluya, Get Out

Daniel Day-Lewis, The Phantom Thread – Said to be his last film, which will probably make this his adieu nomination for this three-time Oscar winner

Denzel Washington, Roman J Israel, Esq.

Best Actress Contenders

Soairse Ronan, Lady Bird – is the current frontrunner

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – a former winner for Fargo (1995) and could be heading for Oscar number two.

Meryl Streep, The Post – A perennial favorite for an Oscar nomination

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water – Shaping up as the festival favorite

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game

Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul

Best Supporting Actor Contenders

Willem Defoe, The Florida Project

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name

Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name

Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Mark Rylance, Dunkirk

Ben Mendolsohn, Darkest Hour

Best Supporting Actress Contenders

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird — If any acting category has a sure frontrunner, Metcalf is it.

Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Holly Hunter, The Big Sick

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Mary J Blige, Mudbound

Tiffany Haddish, Girl’s Trip

Original Screenplay Contenders

Lady Bird, Greta Gerwig
The Post, Liz Hannah, Josh Singer
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Martin McDonaugh
The Shape of Water, Guillermo Del Toro, Vanessa Taylor
Phantom Thread, Paul Thomas Anderson
Get Out, Jordan Peele
The Big Sick, Emily V. Gordon, Kumail Nanjiani
Darkest Hour, Anthony McCarten
The Florida Project, Sean Baker
Battle of the Sexes, Simon Beaufoy

Adapted Screenplay Contenders

The Disaster Artist, Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber
Molly’s Game, Aaron Sorkin
Call Me By Your Name, James Ivory
Mudbound, Dee Rees, Virgil Williams
Hostiles, Scott Cooper
First They Killed my Father, Angelina Jolie

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