LemonWade’s Oscar expert, Rex Okpodu, didn’t do Oscar-nom predictions this year but I can assure you that if he had he would have predicted all of them correctly. Except, of course, for the fact that Lady Gaga, widely expected to get a Best Actress nom for “House of Gucci,” didn’t make the cut. “The Power of the Dog” got the most noms (full list here), with 12, and is expected to win best director, best adapted screenplay, and perhaps best supporting actor. “Belfast” only got 8 noms, but I still think it could beat “Dog” for best picture if Kenneth Branagh wins best original screenplay. And in that category he has major competition from Paul Thomas Anderson, the director/writer of “Licorice Pizza.” “Dune” got 10 noms, and could win several “minor” Oscars, but its director, Denis Villeneuve, didn’t get a nomination. As for Best Actor, it’s Will Smith’s to lose, but he isn’t a sure thing: Benedict Cumberbatch could win BAFTA and Andrew Garfield could win SAG. As for Best Actress, it will once again go to a white person. (Best supporting actress will go to Ariana Debose, of Puerto Rican descent and the Anita of “West Side Story.”) None of the five best actress nominees is in a best picture nominee. But “Being the Ricardos” seems the strongest of the lot, so I would expect Nicole Kidman to take that category, even though Kristen Stewart made a mini-comeback by scoring a nom for her performance as Princess Diana in the downbeat “Spencer.” We won’t know any of the winners until March 27th — the Oscar season is ridiculously long this year.
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